Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 24.222161 27.508873 31.100134 35.319101 40.144601 45.497161 51.892345
2025-01-19 18.815158 23.148071 28.292528 34.866565 43.067461 52.990635 65.954553
2025-01-26 16.028178 21.036397 27.397025 36.104154 47.771255 62.945534 84.310071
2025-02-02 14.242183 19.732183 27.110553 37.816113 53.061134 74.153478 105.831342
2025-02-09 12.541870 18.197272 26.174584 38.343179 56.607718 83.272930 125.648531
2025-02-16 10.868531 16.413779 24.571771 37.572538 58.008989 89.294065 141.568518
2025-02-23 9.562895 14.970956 23.234139 36.933948 59.391931 95.290752 158.096019
2025-03-02 8.525672 13.792985 22.124874 36.450064 60.859806 101.472444 175.629664
2025-03-09 7.750359 12.928551 21.388796 36.438881 63.034422 108.988138 196.371273
2025-03-16 7.066731 12.128503 20.651446 36.303617 64.923225 116.164047 217.406947
2025-03-23 6.719721 11.858333 20.769681 37.655309 69.586392 128.801990 250.339569
2025-03-30 6.251877 11.318807 20.347984 37.959058 72.317111 138.152066 278.164399
2025-04-06 5.633783 10.458110 19.286727 37.002636 72.642972 143.176675 298.560597
2025-04-13 5.149894 9.796555 18.524477 36.533777 73.877029 150.177326 324.241649
2025-04-20 4.928969 9.613334 18.649576 37.836183 78.877755 165.540879 370.529928
2025-04-27 4.778827 9.551016 19.000139 39.635700 85.151515 184.442650 427.890461
2025-05-04 4.511465 9.221797 18.775672 40.189834 88.785802 198.055063 475.103976
2025-05-11 4.141440 8.640633 17.968785 39.380230 89.253575 204.559661 506.097739
2025-05-18 3.821657 8.132842 17.263070 38.709325 89.946392 211.662986 539.740306
2025-05-25 3.546702 7.694098 16.660605 38.200959 90.952533 219.638939 576.959601
2025-06-01 3.335810 7.375599 16.290062 38.189215 93.158640 230.859665 624.761672
2025-06-08 3.133616 7.056514 15.885373 38.047109 95.019150 241.455950 672.654874
2025-06-15 3.054610 7.012735 16.108362 39.467264 101.057537 263.758283 757.890069